2024 RESULTS
Berlin/Lüneburg.
More than 400 registered classes already know the outcome of the U.S. elections: Donald Trump is going to be the 47th President of the United States of America. As part of the U.S. Embassy School Election Project 2024, students gave their predictions for the election outcome state by state: Kamala Harris will receive 272 electoral votes while Donald Trump is projected to only receive 235 of the electoral votes. Sina Werner and Professor Torben Schmidt of the Institute of English Studies at Leuphana University Lüneburg co-developed the course content and learning design of the project together with Kim Steiner, Melina Friedrich and Sarah Laum. The nationwide school project was initiated by the U.S. Embassy.
Since the school year began, students in participating classrooms have dealt with the election in their English courses. Each participating class was assigned a U.S. state. The task was to determine the outcome of the election for 'their' state by examining the respective social issues and the candidates' statements. Their forecasts have been correct before and in previous years predicted the election outcome more accurately than many political polls in the USA or Germany.
This year, 130 courses submitted a forecast for their state shortly before the election, with each state being covered by multiple classes. The forecasts are not always unanimous, but a majority decision could be determined for each state except for the states of Georgia and Michigan. The students predicted Harris would win several key states, including Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Arizona, and thus the overall election. However, Trump could claim all of the swing states, which means that this year the students did not predict the outcome of the election correctly.
The U.S. Embassy School Election Project 2024 is a continuation of precursors organized by the U.S. Embassy Berlin for the 2012, 2016 and 2020 presidential elections. The innovative project curriculum was developed by a project team from the U.S. Embassy, the Berlin-based educational non-profit LIFE e.V., and the Institute of English Studies at Leuphana University Lüneburg.
This is the project outcome produced by our participants:
map from 270towin.com